MAROKO133 Eksklusif crypto: Will History Repeat? Bitcoin Traders Eye Rally as US Shutdown

📌 MAROKO133 Eksklusif crypto: Will History Repeat? Bitcoin Traders Eye Rally as US

After 40 days of political gridlock, the US federal government appears close to reopening, and crypto traders are once again betting that history may repeat itself.

The latest US government shutdown is the longest in history, after the past went for 35 days between December 22, 2018, to January 25, 2019.

Bitcoin Traders Bet on History Repeating as US Shutdown Deal Nears

Bitcoin was trading for $104,501 as of this writing, up by almost 3% in the last hour. It follows a lull weekend, but attention is shifting to X (Twitter) amid hopes of the end to the government shutdown.

According to TradFi media, Senate Democrats have signaled readiness to advance bipartisan spending bills to end the nation’s longest-ever shutdown, which has furloughed around 750,000 federal workers and disrupted key services from national parks to air travel.

Market watchers, including Bitcoin Archive and Walter Bloomberg, reported that at least ten Democrats are expected to support advancing a short-term funding proposal. Further, the Senate is potentially voting “as soon as tonight” to reconsider the House-passed continuing resolution.

The new package would fund the government through January 30, Walter noted, setting up a procedural path to reopen offices within days.

Traders Draw Parallels to Previous Shutdown Resolutions

On social media, traders quickly drew parallels to previous shutdown resolutions and their unexpected correlation with Bitcoin rallies. Analyst Ash Crypto reminded followers that after the US government reopened in early 2019, Bitcoin embarked on a five-month rally, climbing more than 300%.

“The last time the U.S. government reopened after a shutdown, Bitcoin made a five-month rally, surging by over 300%,” wrote analyst Ash Crypto.

“Does that mean a pump is coming next?” Max Crypto also echoed that memory with data points from prior cycles posed.

While that pattern fuels optimism, it is worth noting that the relationship between fiscal reopenings and Bitcoin’s performance may be more coincidental than causal.

Historical data shows that during the 2018–2019 shutdown, Bitcoin fell from about $4,014 to below $3,600, bottoming out just as the government deal was struck.

In the following weeks, the market posted seven consecutive green candles; however, broader factors, including the post-crypto winter recovery, improving liquidity, and shifting global risk sentiment, also drove the rebound.

From February to April 2019, Bitcoin rose above $5,000, marking the start of its next major uptrend. Yet, it is impossible to ignore that while the reopening was not the root cause of the recovery, it acted as a sentiment catalyst.

Today’s setup may echo that dynamic. With US liquidity conditions tightening and the Federal Reserve maintaining a cautious stance, Bitcoin’s next move will likely depend more on monetary signals than on political deals.

Still, many traders view government shutdown headlines as high-impact macro triggers that can shift short-term flows into crypto. This is especially true as traditional markets wobble under fiscal uncertainty.

Amid the optimism, nearly $700 million in Bitcoin open interest has been added. The funding rate is spiking, which means late longs are entering.

“This often doesn’t end well,” analyst Ted cautioned.

Nonetheless, optimism is creeping back into markets that had been bracing for extended paralysis in Washington. If the shutdown ends today, this week will show whether the end of this record-long shutdown sparks another Bitcoin rally or provides a relief bounce.

The post Will History Repeat? Bitcoin Traders Eye Rally as US Shutdown Deal Nears appeared first on BeInCrypto.

🔗 Sumber: www.beincrypto.com

📌 MAROKO133 Hot crypto: Asia Market Open: Bitcoin, Global Markets Climb as US Shut

Bitcoin jumped back above $106,000 as Asia opened on Monday, and regional stocks advanced as Washington moved closer to ending the historic US government shutdown.

The Senate on Sunday advanced a 60-vote cloture deal to reopen the federal government, sending the package to the House and President Trump for approval.

The agreement funds operations through Jan. 30, 2026, reverses certain employee firings, secures SNAP benefits through fiscal 2026 and sets up a December vote on Affordable Care Act subsidies.

Relief over a near-term resolution fed risk appetite, and traders rotated into higher beta assets.

Nasdaq futures rose 0.8% and S&P 500 futures gained 0.5% in early trade, signaling a firmer Wall Street open.

Crypto reflected the swing in sentiment. After the early pop, Bitcoin last traded near $106,097, up 4.4% from 24 hours earlier.

Market snapshot

• Bitcoin: $106,097, up 4.4%
• Ether: $3,636.14, up 7.9%
• XRP: $2.44, up 7.8%
• Total crypto market cap: $3.66 trillion, up 4.8%

Investors Looked Past Recent Volatility As Liquidity Returned To Equities And Crypto

Across equities, MSCI’s Asia ex-Japan index added 0.5% and Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.6%. South Korea’s Kospi advanced 2%, and in Europe, Euro Stoxx 50 and DAX futures gained 1.3% each.

Bond markets signaled a modest unwind of safety trades. The US 10-year yield edged up to about 4.13%, while the two-year rose to roughly 3.59%. The dollar recovered part of last week’s pullback as investors reassessed the growth outlook against a patient Federal Reserve.

Inside Washington, the prolonged shutdown has strained the economy. Federal workers across airports, law enforcement and the military have gone unpaid, and the central bank has faced data gaps with limited government reporting.

Shutdown Fallout Weighs On Confidence, Keeping Investors Cautious

White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said fourth-quarter GDP could turn negative if the shutdown persisted.

Consumer nerves showed up in the data. US consumer sentiment fell to near a three-and-a-half-year low in early November as households weighed the potential fallout, adding another layer of uncertainty to trading desks.

For crypto, the path to a deal matters. The shutdown had tightened liquidity across pockets of the market and increased volatility around macro releases, so clearer fiscal footing lowers tail risks and supports positioning in digital assets sensitive to growth and risk cycles.

Wall Street Eyes Shutdown Vote After Turbulent Week For Tech Stocks

Equity investors kept one eye on last week’s shakeout. Concerns over stretched valuations in AI-linked names sparked the Nasdaq Composite’s worst week since April’s tariff-driven selloff, with the index down 3%. The S&P 500 fell 1.6% and the Dow slipped 1.2% for the week.

Fed speakers last week signaled a preference to go slow on further rate cuts, and recent employment readings hinted at softening momentum. Traders, balancing those signals with the shutdown news, leaned toward a constructive start to the week.

As the House takes up the Senate package and the White House reviews it, markets will watch the timeline closely. A clean passage keeps the relief bid intact, while any snag could revive volatility across both stocks and crypto.

The post Asia Market Open: Bitcoin, Global Markets Climb as US Shutdown Negotiations Show Signs of Progress appeared first on Cryptonews.

🔗 Sumber: cryptonews.com