📌 MAROKO133 Breaking crypto: Bitcoin Price Prediction: After ATH, Only $128,000 St
As mentioned in my Bitcoin price prediction, BTC’s recent rally has unfolded exactly as projected. The cryptocurrency broke above the $118,000 resistance, maintained bullish momentum within the Bearish Butterfly pattern, and touched $124,600 before entering a consolidation phase.
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $123,108, up 0.69% in the past 24 hours, with a market capitalization of $2.45 trillion and a daily trading volume exceeding $65 billion. This pause near $124K isn’t a sign of weakness.
Instead, it reflects natural market digestion before the next move toward the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), which lies between $128K and $130K, where the harmonic pattern is expected to complete.
On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin continues to follow its rising channel structure, confirming a healthy series of higher highs and higher lows. The 50-SMA ($116,394) and 100-SMA ($114,948) both remain below price action, reinforcing bullish alignment. Momentum indicators echo the same narrative: the RSI has eased to 66, cooling from overbought conditions above 75, a typical mid-rally reset before continuation.
Bitcoin Technical Outlook – The Bearish Butterfly Reaches a Key Juncture
Bitcoin price prediction is bullish right now, even if, the medium term pattern suggest bearish bias soon. Bearish Butterfly harmonic pattern, first highlighted in my October 3 forecast, remains central to the current setup.
This structure indicates that while Bitcoin’s short-term momentum is strong, the risk of reversal will increase as the price approaches the upper PRZ.
Candlestick behavior reinforces this duality. Recent candles show smaller bodies with upper wicks, indicating short-term hesitation among buyers as they test resistance around $124,000.
Historically, such pauses often precede either a breakout continuation or a measured pullback toward local support – in this case, near $121,140 or $118,500.
Still, there are no signs of exhaustion yet. Volume trends and institutional inflows suggest continued accumulation, and funding rates remain balanced, signaling that the rally isn’t purely speculative. Should Bitcoin maintain its footing above $ 121,000, the next leg toward $ 128,000–$ 130,000 appears increasingly probable.
Pathway to $160K – The Bullish Continuation Scenario
If Bitcoin decisively breaks above $ 128,000, it could invalidate the short-term bearish implications of the harmonic pattern and pave the way for an extended rally toward $ 160,000. Such a breakout would represent not only technical strength but also psychological confirmation of renewed institutional appetite.
CME open interest and ETF inflows continue to reflect expanding participation from professional investors – a stark contrast to retail hesitation seen during prior cycles. With macro conditions easing and liquidity improving, the setup mirrors the early stages of Bitcoin’s 2020-2021 bull phase.
For traders, the key remains patience and structure. As long as BTC holds above $121,000, momentum remains on the side of buyers. A clean breakout above $124,600 could reignite bullish volume and push the market into the PRZ.
Beyond that, a confirmed close over $ 130,000 would open the door to exponential expansion – potentially propelling Bitcoin toward its next primary target at $160,000 in the months ahead.
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The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: After ATH, Only $128,000 Stands Between BTC and an Exponential Rise to $160,000 appeared first on Cryptonews.
🔗 Sumber: cryptonews.com
📌 MAROKO133 Breaking crypto: Japan’s Iron Lady Sanae Takaichi May Reshape Crypto P
On October 4, 2025, Sanae Takaichi was elected as the new leader of Japan’s Liberal Democratic Party. She is expected to be nominated as the country’s first female prime minister during the extraordinary Diet session on October 15.
Known for her pro-growth and fiscally proactive approach, Takaichi’s economic policies prioritize ending deflation and promoting economic expansion. While she has not made explicit statements on cryptocurrency, her fiscal stance and potential cooperation with opposition parties could influence crypto taxation reforms, which the Japanese digital asset industry has long anticipated.
Japan’s Iron Lady: Takaichi’s Profile
Takaichi has long admired the late British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher. Her admiration brings her closer to realizing ambitions linked to the “Iron Lady” persona.
Born in 1961, Takaichi graduated from Kobe University’s Faculty of Business Administration, trained at the Matsushita Institute of Government and Management, and gained practical experience as a US Congressional Fellow. After working as a television broadcaster, she was first elected to the House of Representatives in 1993 and is currently serving her tenth term.
As a politician, she has held key positions, including three terms as Minister of Internal Affairs and Communications and Economic Security Minister and special appointments at the Cabinet Office. She played a central role during the Abe administration, demonstrating economic and security policy influence.
After being elected LDP leader, she stated, “I will have everyone work like carriage horses. I will abandon the concept of work-life balance,” emphasizing her determination.
Contrasting Stances with Former Prime Minister Ishiba
Takaichi’s approach to cryptocurrency and Web3 differs from that of former Prime Minister Ishiba. In August 2025, Ishiba expressed support for Web3 and blockchain technology at WebX2025, the country’s largest Web3 conference. However, when questioned about separate taxation for cryptocurrency in December 2024 during a Diet session, Ishiba showed a cautious stance, which disappointed some industry stakeholders.
Although Ishiba spoke positively at public events, he remained reluctant to pursue concrete tax reforms. Takaichi has not made specific statements on cryptocurrency policy, but her proactive fiscal approach and tax-reduction orientation may indirectly support reforms in the sector.
Opposition Cooperation and Potential Tax Reforms
A key factor for potential cryptocurrency tax reform is Takaichi’s policy toward opposition parties. She has indicated intentions to strengthen cooperation with the Japan Innovation Party and the Democratic Party for the People, which have historically supported cryptocurrency tax reforms.
The Democratic Party for the People has historically supported crypto tax reforms. Its leader, Yuichiro Tamaki, expressed disappointment with former Prime Minister Ishiba’s cautious stance. The Japan Innovation Party has also been positive toward deregulation and tax reform. If Takaichi strengthens cooperation with these oppositions, the likelihood of implementing cryptocurrency tax reforms as part of a broader tax reduction policy could increase.
On August 29, 2025, the Financial Services Agency(FSA) formally requested a review of cryptocurrency taxation for FY2026. Proposed measures include: introducing separate taxation—aligning crypto gains with equities at approximately 20%, compared to the current progressive rate of up to 55%—and allowing loss carryforwards for up to three years. The government’s “New Capitalism Grand Design 2025 Revision” explicitly mentions considering separate taxation. If Takaichi deepens cooperation with opposition parties and prioritizes tax reductions, these reforms could be realized in the 2026 ordinary Diet session.
Trump Visits Japan: Implications for Crypto Policy
One of Takaichi’s first significant foreign policy challenges will be the scheduled visit of US President Donald Trump in late October. Trump is expected to visit Japan for three days starting around October 27. During this visit, he will hold his first summit with Takaichi.
Since assuming office in January 2025, Trump has stated his intention to make the US a global center for crypto, implementing policies such as building Bitcoin strategic reserves and establishing a cryptocurrency advisory committee. Both leaders’ shared pro-growth perspectives may allow for economic policy coordination during the meeting. However, Takaichi’s conservative values may affect the degree to which she aligns with Trump’s crypto initiatives. Any discussions on Bitcoin reserves or crypto deregulation will be an essential indicator for Japan’s cryptocurrency industry.
Uncertainties and Potential Impacts
Significant uncertainties remain regarding Takaichi’s cryptocurrency policies. Her primary focus may remain on traditional industry policies and national security. Cabinet appointments are a key factor. Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato&rsq…
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🔗 Sumber: www.beincrypto.com
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