MAROKO133 Update crypto: Bitcoin RSI demands breakout as exec says 'RIP' to 4-ye

📌 MAROKO133 Update crypto: Bitcoin RSI demands breakout as exec says 'RIP&#03

Bitcoin entered a “new era” as the 2025 yearly candle closed red, said analysis, with BTC price volatility signals firing into the new year.

🔗 Sumber: www.cointelegraph.com

📌 MAROKO133 Eksklusif crypto: 3 Crypto Futures Trading Mistakes That 2025 Brutally

The year 2025 will be remembered as the moment crypto futures trading stopped being a theoretical risk and became a measurable systemic failure. By year’s end, more than $154 billion in forced liquidations had been recorded across perpetual futures markets, according to aggregated data from Coinglass, translating to an average of $400–500 million in daily losses.

What unfolded across centralized and decentralized derivatives venues was not a single black swan event, but a slow-motion structural unwind.

Why Perpetual Futures Became Liquidation Engines in 2025

The scale was unprecedented, with Coinglass’ 2025 crypto derivatives market annual report showing $154.64 billion in total liquidations for the past year.

Yet the mechanics behind the losses were neither new nor unpredictable. Throughout the year, leverage ratios increased, funding rates issued persistent warnings, and exchange-level risk mechanisms proved to be deeply flawed under stress.

Retail traders, drawn in by the promise of amplified gains, absorbed the bulk of the damage.

The breaking point arrived on October 10–11, when a violent market reversal liquidated over $19 billion in positions within 24 hours, the largest single liquidation event in crypto history.

Long positions were disproportionately affected, accounting for an estimated 80–90% of liquidations, as cascading margin calls overwhelmed order books and insurance funds alike.

Drawing from on-chain analytics, derivatives data, and real-time trader commentary on Twitter (now X), three core mistakes stand out. Each contributed directly to the magnitude of losses witnessed in 2025, and each carries critical lessons for 2026.

Mistake 1: Over-Reliance on Extreme Leverage

Leverage was the primary accelerant behind 2025’s liquidation crisis and arguably the leading crypto futures trading mistake. While futures markets are designed to enhance capital efficiency, the scale of leverage deployed throughout the year crossed from strategic to destabilizing.

CryptoQuant data indicates that the Bitcoin Estimated Leverage Ratio reached a record high in early October, just days before the market’s collapse.

At the same time, total futures open interest exceeded $220 billion, reflecting a market saturated with borrowed exposure.

On major centralized exchanges, estimated leverage ratios for BTC and ETH frequently surpassed 10x, with a meaningful portion of retail traders operating at 50x or even 100x.

“High-leverage trading can be a double-edged sword…It offers a tantalizing opportunity for profit, but… can lead to some pretty devastating losses,” OneSafe analysis noted.

Coinglass data from late 2025 illustrated the fragility of this structure. While the long-to-short ratio remained near equilibrium (approximately 50.33% long versus 49.67% short), a sudden price move triggered a 97.88% surge in 24-hour liquidations, reaching $230 million in a single session.

Balanced positioning did not equate to stability. Instead, it meant both sides were equally overextended.

During the October crash, liquidation data revealed a brutal asymmetry. Long positions were systematically wiped out as price declines forced market sells, pushing prices lower and liquidating the next tier of leverage.

“In 2025, the casino side of crypto finally showed its true cost. More than $150B in forced liquidations vaporized leveraged futures positions… Most people are not trading anymore; they are feeding liquidation engines,” remarked one crypto researcher.

This was not hyperbole. Futures markets are mechanically designed to close positions at predefined thresholds. When leverage is excessive, even modest volatility becomes fatal.

Liquidity evaporates precisely when it is needed most, and forced selling replaces discretionary decision-making.

Excessive Leverage May Have Capped Crypto’s Bull Market

Some analysts argued that leverage did more than wipe out traders; it actively suppressed the broader market.

One thesis suggested that had the capital lost to forced liquidations remained in spot markets, crypto’s total market capitalization could have expanded toward $5–6 trillion, rather than stalling near $2 trillion. Instead, leverage-induced crashes repeatedly reset bullish momentum.

Leverage itself is not inherently destructive. However, in a 24/7, globally fragmented, reflexive market, extreme leverage transforms futures venues into extraction mechanisms.

This tends to favor well-capitalized players over undercapitalized retail participants.

Mistake 2: Ignoring Funding Rate Dynamics

Funding rates were among the most misunderstood and misused signals in 2025’s derivatives markets. Designed to keep perpetual futures prices anchored to spot markets, funding rates quietly convey crucial information about market positioning.

When funding is positive, longs pay shorts, signaling excess bullish demand. When funding turns negative, shorts pay longs, r…

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🔗 Sumber: www.beincrypto.com